An outdoor heat pump unit mounted on a concrete pad in front of a two-story suburban house.

Heat pump vs Furnace in St. Louis County, Minnesota

When a heat pump makes sense

A heat pump makes sense if you want air conditioning as part of the same system and you're set on cutting gas out of the picture entirely. Get a cold-climate model, since standard heat pumps lose heating power once temperatures drop, and St. Louis County winter nights average 1°F from December through February. Even a cold-climate unit will run alongside a backup heat source on the coldest nights, and you'll pay more to run it than a furnace at Minnesota gas and electric prices.

When a furnace makes sense

A furnace is the right call for most homes here. It's built to keep up on nights at 1°F without losing capacity, and with heat needed about 10 months a year, that matters. Natural gas runs at least 35% cheaper than a heat pump at Minnesota prices, which is part of why 51% of homes in the county already heat with gas. The tradeoff is that a furnace only heats, so you'd still need separate air conditioning for summer.

When a heat pump makes sense

A heat pump makes sense if you want air conditioning as part of the same system and you're set on cutting gas out of the picture entirely. Get a cold-climate model, since standard heat pumps lose heating power once temperatures drop, and St. Louis County winter nights average 1°F from December through February. Even a cold-climate unit will run alongside a backup heat source on the coldest nights, and you'll pay more to run it than a furnace at Minnesota gas and electric prices.

When a furnace makes sense

A furnace is the right call for most homes here. It's built to keep up on nights at 1°F without losing capacity, and with heat needed about 10 months a year, that matters. Natural gas runs at least 35% cheaper than a heat pump at Minnesota prices, which is part of why 51% of homes in the county already heat with gas. The tradeoff is that a furnace only heats, so you'd still need separate air conditioning for summer.

An outdoor air conditioning condenser unit mounted on a concrete pad next to a residential house at sunset.

Heat pump

Runs on
Electricity
What it does
Heats and cools
Tax credit
No federal tax credit since the end of 2025

Sources: U.S. Department of Energy · Internal Revenue Code

An unfinished basement containing a gray HVAC furnace with ductwork, exposed wooden joists, a concrete floor, and miscellaneous clutter in one corner.

Furnace

Runs on
Natural gas
What it does
Heats only
Tax credit
No federal tax credit since the end of 2025

Sources: U.S. Department of Energy · Internal Revenue Code

Furnace wins in St. Louis County.

Winter nights here average 1°F, and a furnace keeps up with that cold while costing at least 35% less to run than a heat pump.

At least 35% lessto heat with natural gas than with a heat pump, at Minnesota prices
1°Faverage winter low
51%of homes here heat with gas

If your home has no gas line and you want cooling and heat from one system, a cold-climate heat pump is still worth a look.

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Compared onHeat pumpFurnace
Cost to run hereCosts more to runAt least 35% less to run
What it doesHeats and coolsHeats only
Homes in the Plains states that heat with one5.4%77.6%
Handles a 1°F nightStandard models lose heating power in the cold; cold-climate models are built for itYes

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, NOAA

When a heat pump makes sense

A heat pump makes sense if you want air conditioning as part of the same system and you're set on cutting gas out of the picture entirely. Get a cold-climate model, since standard heat pumps lose heating power once temperatures drop, and St. Louis County winter nights average 1°F from December through February. Even a cold-climate unit will run alongside a backup heat source on the coldest nights, and you'll pay more to run it than a furnace at Minnesota gas and electric prices.

When a furnace makes sense

A furnace is the right call for most homes here. It's built to keep up on nights at 1°F without losing capacity, and with heat needed about 10 months a year, that matters. Natural gas runs at least 35% cheaper than a heat pump at Minnesota prices, which is part of why 51% of homes in the county already heat with gas. The tradeoff is that a furnace only heats, so you'd still need separate air conditioning for summer.

A St. Louis County contractor will price both against your own house, your ductwork and your panel.

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