An outdoor heat pump unit mounted on a concrete pad in front of a two-story suburban house.

Heat pump vs Furnace in Olmsted County, Minnesota

When a heat pump makes sense

A heat pump makes sense if you want air conditioning and heat from one system and you're set on going electric. Get a cold-climate model, not a standard one. Standard heat pumps lose heating power once temperatures drop, and your winter nights average 10°F from December through February, cold enough to matter most of the season.

When a furnace makes sense

For most homes here, a furnace is the better fit. Natural gas costs at least 35% less to heat with than a heat pump at Minnesota prices, and you're paying to heat your home for about 9 months of the year. It also has no trouble keeping up when nights sit at 10°F, which is why most of your neighbors already heat with gas.

When a heat pump makes sense

A heat pump makes sense if you want air conditioning and heat from one system and you're set on going electric. Get a cold-climate model, not a standard one. Standard heat pumps lose heating power once temperatures drop, and your winter nights average 10°F from December through February, cold enough to matter most of the season.

When a furnace makes sense

For most homes here, a furnace is the better fit. Natural gas costs at least 35% less to heat with than a heat pump at Minnesota prices, and you're paying to heat your home for about 9 months of the year. It also has no trouble keeping up when nights sit at 10°F, which is why most of your neighbors already heat with gas.

An outdoor air conditioning condenser unit mounted on a concrete pad in front of a single-story suburban house.

Heat pump

Runs on
Electricity
What it does
Heats and cools
Tax credit
No federal tax credit since the end of 2025

Sources: U.S. Department of Energy · Internal Revenue Code

An unfinished basement featuring concrete block walls, exposed floor joists, a bare concrete floor, and a forced-air furnace with a large metal exhaust duct in the corner.

Furnace

Runs on
Natural gas
What it does
Heats only
Tax credit
No federal tax credit since the end of 2025

Sources: U.S. Department of Energy · Internal Revenue Code

Furnace wins in Olmsted County.

Winter nights here average 10 above zero, and gas heat runs at least 35% cheaper than a heat pump at that cold.

At least 35% lessto heat with natural gas than with a heat pump, at Minnesota prices
10°Faverage winter low
72%of homes here heat with gas

If your home has no gas line to it, a cold-climate heat pump still heats through a 10°F night and cools in summer too.

Find a contractor
Compared onHeat pumpFurnace
Cost to run hereCosts more to runAt least 35% less to run
What it doesHeats and coolsHeats only
Homes in the Plains states that heat with one5.4%77.6%
Handles a 10°F nightStandard models lose heating power in the cold; cold-climate models are built for itYes

Sources: U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy, NOAA

When a heat pump makes sense

A heat pump makes sense if you want air conditioning and heat from one system and you're set on going electric. Get a cold-climate model, not a standard one. Standard heat pumps lose heating power once temperatures drop, and your winter nights average 10°F from December through February, cold enough to matter most of the season.

When a furnace makes sense

For most homes here, a furnace is the better fit. Natural gas costs at least 35% less to heat with than a heat pump at Minnesota prices, and you're paying to heat your home for about 9 months of the year. It also has no trouble keeping up when nights sit at 10°F, which is why most of your neighbors already heat with gas.

A Olmsted County contractor will price both against your own house, your ductwork and your panel.

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